Saturday, December 17, 2011

virtual epidemic.

Healthy,Carrier,Sick,Dead,Immune
399,1,0,0,0
To make an epidemic with a very similar profile to the current Foot and Mouth outbreak, try the 25x30 map with probabilities 20,30,80,0,0. To explore the fine balance between containment and breakout, try the UK map with 10,20,100,0,0 in the probabilities. A very slightly smaller percentage of Carrier-to-Sick (say 15) is much more dangerous! This assumes all sick animals are killed immediately.

Healthy,Carrier,Sick,Dead,Immune
89,71,92,115,33
To make an epidemic with a very similar profile to the current Foot and Mouth outbreak, try the 25x30 map with probabilities 20,30,80,0,0. To explore the fine balance between containment and breakout, try the UK map with 10,20,100,0,0 in the probabilities. A very slightly smaller percentage of Carrier-to-Sick (say 15) is much more dangerous! This assumes all sick animals are killed immediately.
 An epidemic is destructive when it is both strong and contagious when combined together. If an epidermic is contagious, it has the ability to work fast and kill it's host and move onto new host fast, killing the body quickly. If it is strong then it will be able to protect itself from being killed, but it probably won't be as contagious.

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